What Just Happened
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On September 17, 2025, the Bank of Canada cut its policy (overnight) interest rate by 25 basis points — from 2.75% to 2.50%.
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With the cut, the Bank Rate is now 2.75% and the deposit rate is 2.45%.
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This is the first time in six months the Bank has reduced its rate.
Why the Cut
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The economy has shown signs of weakening: Canada’s GDP contracted by about 1.5–1.6% in Q2.
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The labour market has softened. Job losses over recent months, slowing wage growth, and rising unemployment point toward reduced economic momentum.
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Inflation has started to ease. Headline CPI is below earlier highs; core inflation measures are closer to 2.5%. The pressure from tariffs and trade disruptions is still a concern but seems less immediate.
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Global factors also matter: trade uncertainty (especially U.S. tariffs) and softer global growth are adding risk to the outlook.
What This Means for Homeowners and Buyers
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Variable Rate Mortgages will likely become cheaper relatively quickly. When the overnight rate drops, banks tend to lower their prime lending rate, which often means lower monthly payments for variable-rate borrowers.
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Fixed Rate Mortgages may take longer to reflect rate changes, but bond markets have already started pricing in lower yields, which could help fixed rates gradually come down.
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Buying Power Improves: Lower interest rates can reduce borrowing costs, meaning buyers may be able to afford more home for the same monthly payment. This could bring some buyers off the sidelines.
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Sellers Should Be Realistic: With rates easing, buyer demand might pick up, but the market isn’t likely to turn overnight. Pricing, presentation, and readiness still matter. Homes in prime locations, well-renovated, or with strong curb appeal will gain advantage.
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Refinancing and Renewals: For those renewing their mortgages, this cut might offer an opportunity to lock in a better rate if available. If you’re on a fixed rate, keep an eye on what lenders begin to offer. Those with variable rates will see more direct benefit.
What to Watch Next
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What the next inflation readings will show (CPI, core inflation). If inflation resumes rising, this could limit further cuts.
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Upcoming labour market data: job creation, unemployment, wage growth. These indicators will help the Bank decide if it needs to pause or cut more.
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How fixed-rate mortgage offers shift in the coming weeks: lenders will respond to market and bond yield changes.
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Any further statements from Bank of Canada’s Governor or Governing Council — forward guidance is cautious, but markets are trying to interpret risk.