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Bank of Canada's Latest Rate Drop - October 29, 2025

Today the Bank of Canada lowered its overnight policy rate by 25 basis points (0.25%), bringing the rate to 2.25%. bloomberg.com+3Reuters+3Reuters+3 This is the second consecutive cut in a row, signaling the Bank’s concern about the Canadian economy and its desire to support growth. Wealth Professional+2Reuters+2

Why the BoC Made the Move

Several factors influenced this decision:

  • The Canadian economy is showing signs of weakness: e.g., Q2 GDP contracted ~1.6%. Reuters+1

  • The labour market is softening — unemployment around 7.1% for September. Wealth Professional+1

  • Inflation remains modest and near target (~2.4% in September) though core inflation is elevated. Wealth Professional+1

  • External risks, particularly from U.S. trade policy / tariffs, are weighing on Canada’s outlook. Reuters+1


What the Rate Cut Entails

  • The overnight target rate is now 2.25%. Reuters+1

  • The Bank Rate and deposit rate were correspondingly adjusted (Bank Rate: 2.50%; Deposit rate: 2.20%). Reuters+1

  • The BoC indicated that while this move supports the economy, it may be the last cut for now unless risks materialize further. Reuters+1


Implications — What It Means for Consumers & Investors

For borrowers:

  • Variable-rate mortgages may become more attractive (or slightly cheaper) if banks pass along reductions.

  • Existing fixed-rate borrowers may not see a big change immediately — fixed rates are more tied to long-term bond yields.

    • Earlier commentary: “the recent rate cuts have narrowed the gap between fixed and variable-rate options.” Wealth Professional

For savers/investors:

  • Savings and deposit accounts may continue to see low rates; rate cuts typically reduce return in low-risk instruments.

  • Bond yields may adjust (depending on market expectation of further cuts or holds).

For real estate / housing market:

  • Some experts expect the cut to help home-buyers off the sidelines. Mortgage Professional+1

  • But with trade and growth risks, the housing market may still face headwinds (slower employment, consumer caution).


What to Watch Going Forward

  • Will inflation creep up (especially core inflation) and force the BoC into a “hold” or even tighten?

  • The evolution of the U.S.–Canada trade relationship and global economic growth.

  • Whether the BoC will cut again, and if so, how soon. Markets are uncertain: some expect no further cuts until early 2026. Reuters+1

  • How banks and lenders pass along (or don’t pass along) the rate change to consumers.


Quick Takeaways

  • Rate now 2.25% — this cut was expected and aligns with the BoC’s view of a slower growth environment.

  • Good news for variable-rate borrowers; less so for savers seeking higher returns.

  • The move doesn’t guarantee huge changes in loan or mortgage costs — timing and lender behaviour matter.

  • It signals caution: growth is fragile, inflation manageable, and external risks remain large.

  • If you’re making financial decisions (mortgage renewal, variable vs fixed rate, investment portfolio), it’s a good moment to review your options with this rate environment in mind.


This entry was posted on October 29th, 2025 by Alyssa Dotson Personal Real Estate Corporation | Posted in General

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